Luxifare · evaluation trace move 10, White to play demo data

Nxe5 wins the pawn and mortgages the king

Thirty-two concepts scored this position. Four of them produced 61 % of the evaluation's weight, and two of those four argue against the move the engine actually played. The final +0.74 is a net, not a consensus.

FENr1bq1rk1/pp3ppp/2nb1n2/3pp3/8/2NP1NP1/PPP1PPBP/R1BQ1RK1 w - - 2 10

Contribution to the score, in centipawns 32 concepts

Material + PST , for +118
King safety , against −74
Rook activity , for +61
Pawn structure , against −38

The other 28 concepts — 39 % of the weight between them

Mobility +21
Outposts +17
Threats −14
Safe checks −11
Space +9
Bishop vs knight −8
Pawn breaks +6
Endgame technique +4
Conversion +3
Dominance −2
18 smaller concepts, net −18
Evaluation after Nxe5 +74

Ordered by absolute contribution, largest first, not by concept family. Bars are scaled to the largest single term (118 cp); the four leaders sit above the rule, the remaining 28 below it. Every value is signed: and a + argue for the move, and a − argue against it.

Concepts scored
32

Across 125 tunable parameters in the Rust hot path.

Decided the move
4 of 32

61 % of the total absolute weight, 291 cp of 474 cp.

Of those, opposed
2 ↓ −112 cp

King safety and pawn structure both say don't.

Final evaluation
+0.74

Down from +1.86 if the two objectors are ignored.

What the move pays for the pawn

2 objecting concepts · −112 cp

King safety

Against · −74 cp

This is the term that decides the move, and it is the one the engine is least able to defend in words. Three sub-terms move at once: shelter quality, attacker count in the king zone, and light-square control around the castled king.

Fires because the g2 bishop carries the light squares around the king on its own, and the term weights that single point of failure heavily. Term weights shelter −29, attackers −27, diagonal −18.

Pawn structure

Against · −38 cp

Opening the e-file cuts both ways. The d3 pawn ends up on a half-open file, and the two pawns defending it can only keep doing so by staying where they are.

Fires because c2 and e2 defend d3 only from their starting squares, so the term reads the queenside majority as frozen rather than mobile. Term weights backward pawn −24, half-open file exposure −14.

What the second system says out loud

5 of 16 evaluators fired

You are winning a clean pawn, and the e-file opens for whoever can use it first. That is the case for Nxe5, and it is worth about a pawn and a quarter on its own.

You are paying for it with the squares around your own king. The knight that leaves f6 was the piece holding that side together, and g3 does not heal. If you are going to play this, plan on spending a tempo on h3 or Re1 before Black's queen finds the diagonal.

The engine still plays it, at about three quarters of a pawn. Treat the score as a bet you have taken, not a position you have won.

  • material_swing
  • file_opening
  • shelter_decay
  • structure_debt
  • tempo_budget

All 32 concepts

sums to +74 cp
Every scored concept and its contribution
ConceptSidecp
Material + PSTfor+118
King safetyagainst−74
Rook activityfor+61
Pawn structureagainst−38
Mobilityfor+21
Outpostsfor+17
Threatsagainst−14
Safe checksagainst−11
Spacefor+9
Bishop vs knightagainst−8
Pawn breaksfor+6
Endgame techniquefor+4
Conversionfor+3
Dominanceagainst−2
Bishop pairfor+12
Tempofor+7
Open filesfor+6
Piece coordinationfor+4
Candidate passersfor+3
Connected rooksfor+2
Blockadefor+1
Trapped piecesneither0
Pawn stormneither0
Pawn islandsagainst−2
Colour complexagainst−3
Queen activityagainst−4
Minor piece placementagainst−5
Weak squaresagainst−6
Fianchetto integrityagainst−6
Pawn shelteragainst−8
King zone controlagainst−9
Initiativeagainst−10
Evaluation after Nxe5for+74